BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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North Carolina
Class: 1A Class Rank: 92 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (1-7) Overall: (2-9) Overall Strength = 147.17
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/01/2018 Away L 152.90 17 24 1A 58 ( 7- 5) California 5.73 -12.73
2 09/08/2018 Away L 117.14 19 41 1A 120 ( 3- 9) East Carolina -30.04 8.04
3 09/22/2018 Home W * 159.45 38 35 1A 52 ( 7- 6) Pittsburgh 12.28 -9.28
4 09/27/2018 Away L * 130.84 10 47 1A 36 ( 7- 5) Miami FL -16.33 -20.67
5 10/13/2018 Home L * 147.24 19 22 1A 84 ( 6- 6) Virginia Tech 0.06 -3.06
6 10/20/2018 Away L * 163.93 37 40 1A 31 ( 9- 3) Syracuse 16.76 -19.76
7 10/27/2018 Away L * 150.95 21 31 1A 53 ( 7- 5) Virginia 3.78 -13.78
8 11/03/2018 Home L * 149.05 28 38 1A 46 ( 7- 5) Georgia Tech 1.88 -11.88
9 11/10/2018 Away L * 151.09 35 42 1A 66 ( 7- 5) Duke 3.92 -10.92
10 11/17/2018 Home W 138.52 49 26 1B 83 ( 3- 8) Western Carolina -8.65 31.65
11 11/24/2018 Home L * 157.77 28 34 1A 32 ( 9- 3) North Carolina St 10.60 -16.60
Averages 147.17 27.4 34.5
Best game: 163.93 = 3 point loss to Syracuse
Worst game: 117.14 = 22 point loss to East Carolina
Team stdev: 13.61